Presidential Candidates and Economic Growth

Declaration of election campaign (election) has declared peace. Determination of each presidential candidate (candidates) and vice-presidential candidate (vice is wanting to this year's elections can be run safely, peacefully, and of course fair and transparent.

Spirit and it is intended appeal to many people. However, the main target of course is the organizer of the General Elections Commission (KPU), which has been performing many highlighted by many people. I hope the declaration is not a mere slogan or rhetoric.

As usual and commonly encountered many states each partner vice presidential candidate will prepare the programs and promises which will be offered to the public and allows for a claim of success by the success already achieved.

Recently we were treated by an economic activity charged with the events that shaped the economic dialogue held by the Chamber of Commerce. In the later dialogues entrepreneurs will find picture about the extent to which each candidate describing their economic programs stretcher during the election campaign and possible barriers or to businessmen saw partisanship as a whole.

Candidate Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY) as the incumbent in front of Chamber of Commerce is targeting entrepreneurs economic growth rate at the end of 2014 the position of 7%. Almost the same attitude made by presidential candidate Jusuf Kalla as his view on the standard rate of national economic growth in 2014 of 8%.

However, the interesting is Megawati's candidacy through statements submitted by the various media cawapresnya the target rate of two-digit economic growth over the same period. Indeed, if we observe the statement-a statement from each candidate is new limited surface. Too general in nature.

It's easy to say something would be the optimal outcome with confidence. But more importantly is how to make the numbers given that economic growth since the global financial crisis struck us and some countries of the world's great having contractions, especially in trade and finance.

Recently, the IMF figures pertumbuhana launch of our state economy with the number range of 4% -5% range of which is economic growth revised earlier predictions. That is 2% -3%.

In Asia alone is now only four countries that experienced positive economic growth. They include China 6%, India 5%, 3-4% Indonesia, Vietnam and the last 2% -3%. While other countries experienced negative economic growth.

Powerful factor that can still support our economic growth to be positive is none other than consumption is still high interest of our society. So roughly observations made by the IMF team when they visit to Jakarta last week.

In economics (apart from mashab-debated mashab now know what is called Fakor-Factor, which are as follows: capital, natural resources, labor. If we look back to the promises of the candidates who summon the rate of growth national economy as a dialogue with the Chamber of Commerce, the average number carried is above 5% to 6%. As for achieving the required number was so large capital investments achieved that can be fulfilled.

According to figures simple calculations to achieve economic growth rate of 5% to 6% is required at least an investment of Rp 1.500 trillion. However, on the other hand government can disburse Rp 150 trillion. The rest had to bring from the private sector and foreign corporations. So how much investment is needed if we are to achieve economic growth in double digits.

Of course we should not be pessimistic by only seeing one side only. There are other factors that appeal, so why should the candidates dare to set their economic growth rates.

Our country has many resources. Both natural resources and human resources. The second factor is a means of enticing for prospective investors in their investment planning. Our natural resources in the form of mining, agriculture, plantations, and has the potential of marine extraordinary and can bring economic benefits and have the ability to be a raw material in processing industries and create ultimately impact upon the rise of the community.

Achieving an economic growth rate can not be separated from the part berperannya companies whose shares are owned by the government. Because the state owned enterprises (SOEs) will they become a locomotive for economic development as a whole.

State banks have excess liquidity to keep true economic interests so that the national-based funding in the form of loans can be optimized as possible in moving factors of production.

Are no less interesting today is the partner to focus on how to translate the contents of economic programs in detail and their concerns to the economic sectors that have superior priority. Procurement infrastructure that facilitated by the government can no longer be a barrier to potential investors.

Electricity, roads, bridges, and various other supporting facilities must be addressed if we are to achieve positive economic growth and the importance of government regulation can make dipertanggungjawabakan and unchanging. Finally, the writer wanted to says that the deficiencies that should be immediately addressed to anyone who was elected president later.